Outcomes Management

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Identification of Patients at Risk for Suicide and/or
Substance Abuse

Published: October, 2001

Another function of the ALERT system is to target cases with recurrent suicidal ideation and/or high potential for substance abuse in order to ensure that services of adequate intensity are provided. The system incorporates information on these risk factors from the Provider Assessment Report (PAR) and from the LSQ/YLSQ.

In order to check the congruence between the provider assessment and the patient self-report, an analysis was conducted on the entire sample. The report design matched PARs with LSQs administered within 7 days of one another. This produced 1,391 cases with concurrent PAR and LSQ data.

Of these cases, 56 (4%) reported suicidal ideation "Frequently" or "Almost Always" on the LSQ item "I have thoughts of ending my life." The average LSQ score for patients reporting this level of suicidal ideation is 77 points, which is at the high end of the severe range. In fact, a score of 77 or higher occurs in approximately 5% of cases. These same cases also have an average response of 3 ("Frequently") on the item, "I feel hopeless about the future." Over 70% of these members with recurrent suicidal thoughts have scores of 3 or higher on the hopelessness item.

These are clearly very distressed individuals with high levels of depression and anxiety, frequent suicidal ideation, and a high level of hopelessness. Surprisingly, almost two thirds of these cases were assessed by the practitioner as presenting either with no suicidal thoughts or only a mild level of ideation. The following graph shows the breakdown of provider assessment of suicidal ideation for these cases.

It is not possible to offer a definitive explanation for the discrepancy in assessments, but numerous conversations with practitioners suggest there may be two very different sources. First of all, there are instances when practitioners seem genuinely surprised by the discrepancy when contacted by phone by Care Managers, and it would seem that these practitioners did not detect the presence of suicidal thinking. However, the other source of discrepancy is a thorough assessment by the practitioner who rates the patient’s suicidal thinking as passive and "mild" in terms of risk. In other words, the practitioner may be well aware of the patient’s frequent suicidal thoughts, but the rating of "mild" ideation on the PAR reflects a more comprehensive analysis of the risk factors associated with those thoughts.

A similar analysis was performed to check the congruence between the provider assessment and the patient self-report regarding substance abuse. This analysis compares responses on the LSQ chemical dependency (CD) items and the clinician assessment of substance abuse problems on the PAR. The LSQ has three CD-related items. These are scored on a five-point scale, from 0 for "Never" to 4 for "Almost Always." The CD scale score is derived by adding the three items.

    1. I use alcohol or a drug to get going in the morning.
    2. People criticize my drinking (or drug use).
    3. I have trouble at work/school or other daily activities because of drinking or drug use.

Arguably, any response other than a "Never" on all three items could be indicative of a problem. Twenty percent (20%) of the sample responded with at least one "Rarely." However, its difficult to have confidence that a single rarely is strong evidence of substance abuse problem.

For purposes of this analysis, a more stringent requirement of a score of four or higher was used to indicate presence of a substance abuse problem. Less than five percent (5%) of members scored this on this scale. It appears that virtually all patients self-reporting this degree of difficulty have a substance abuse problem.

Similar to the case with the suicide item, a significant percentage of these self-admitted substance abusers are not identified by the provider as having a problem. The following graph displays the results. Fifty eight percent (58%) of the cases targeted by the LSQ were not identified by providers as having a problem.


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Wednesday, September 08, 2010